Замена работы
Какие рабочие места заменят компьютеры?
В 2013 году оксфордские ученые Карл Бенедикт Фрей и Майкл А. Осборн опубликовали вероятность того, что 47% всех профессий будут заняты компьютерами через два десятилетия .
Источник: Оксфорд - The_Future_of_Employment.pdf.
Таблица ниже взята из списка. Он ранжирует профессии в соответствии с вероятностью их компьютеризации.
Бухгалтерия
99% всех специалистов по составлению налоговых деклараций
99% всех бухгалтеров 98%
всех бухгалтеров
98% всех кредитных аналитиков
Карл Бенедикт Фрей и Майкл А. Осборн были правы.
Сегодня бухгалтерия автоматизирована.
Для этих работ компьютеры намного доступнее, чем люди.
Продажи и клиенты
99% of all Telemarketers
97% of all Cashiers
94% of all Door-to-Door Salesmen
92% of all Insurance Sales Agents
85% of all Sales Representatives
58% of all Financial Advisors
55% of all Customer Service
54% of all Sales Agents
They were right.
Web shopping is taking over.
Conversion rates for telephone sales are not very attractive.
Production Workers
98% of all Packaging Machine Operators
95% of all Print Binding and Finishing Workers
93% of all Industrial Truck Operators
92% of all Production Workers
87% of all Food Preparation Workers
Assembly line robots has been around for 50 years.
Today, smart robots can be programmed by anyone to do anything.
Robots are replacing jobs at Amazon:
Read and Write
99% of all Data Entry Keyers
84% of all Proofreaders
65% of all Librarians
54% of all Film and Video Editors
Proofreading software is everywhere. From spell check to the Hemingway App.
Bartenders
81% of all Fast Food Cooks
77% of all Bartenders
77% of all Dishwashers
Coffee robots can replace many baristas.
5 Best Robot Coffee Baristas 2020
Robotic Bartenders on Quantum of the Seas - Royal Caribbean:
Postal Services
95% of all Postal Service Clerks
79% of all Mail Sorters
75% of all Postmasters
68% of all Mail Carriers
Airplane Pilots
55% of all Pilots
The military uses drones today.
Tomorrow AI will replace the pilots of cargo planes.
Passenger planes will have only one pilot. The second pilot will be an autopilot.
Drivers. Transportation Jobs
69% of all Taxi Drivers
69% of all Truck Drivers
67% of all Bus Drivers
Self-driving cars is already a reality.
The potential of jobs lost is staggering.
Very soon AI could replace millions of transportation jobs.
Robots could take 20 million jobs by 2030
According to a study from Oxford Economics (2019), there could be 14 million robots working in China by 2030.
